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Be sure to join us tonight for primary results.
TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 14, 2010
PRIMARY BULLETIN – AT 12:43 A.M. ET: With 57% of the vote counted, Kelly Ayotte has taken the lead in New Hampshire, 39-38%. We'll be signing off now, but will give you the New Hampshire final result in the morning. PRIMARY BULLETIN – AT 12:12 A.M. ET: With 43% of the vote counted, Kelly Ayotte is almost even with Ovide Lamontagne in New Hampshire. PRIMARY BULLETIN – AT 12:06 A.M. ET: Charlie Rangel won Dem renomination in New York's Harlem, defeating Adam Clayton Powell IV. As I understand it, there will be a feisty GOP candidate opposing Rangel, but Rangel is probably a shoo-in for reelection in November. Harlemites are very loyal, and tend to rally round leaders in trouble. Carl Paladino, a wealthy insurgent, has won the GOP nomination for governor New York, defeating establishment guy Rick Lazio. (You may recall Lazio as Hillary Clinton's opponent in Clinton's first race for the Senate from New York.) Paladino has about as much chance being elected governor in November as Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has of being elected prime minister of Israel. Paladino has no credentials, is crude, has indulged racism and bigotry, and has no place being on the ticket. His opponent will be Andrew Cuomo, who should have an easy time winning. The GOP could have done much better. PRIMARY BULLETIN – AT 11:33 P.M. ET: With about 27% of the vote in, Ovide Lamontagne's lead over Kelly Ayotte in the New Hampshire GOP senatorial primary continues to shrink, and is down to four points. The trend is toward Ayotte, who is the establishment candidate, but is also Palin-endorsed. PRIMARY BULLETIN – AT 11:13 P.M. ET: In New York, with 33% of the vote in, ethically challenged Congressman Charlie Rangel is leading challenged-in-other-ways Adam Clayton Powell IV, 50% to 24%. I doubt if Powell can overcome that. PRIMARY BULLETIN - AT 10:49 P.M. ET: Vote counting in New Hampshire appears slow. It seems, with a bit more than 20% of the vote in, that Ovide Lamontagne's lead over Kelly Ayotte is shrinking, and is down to about six points. We may have a long night waiting for this one to be resolved. PRIMARY BULLETIN – AT 9:41 P.M. ET: There may be another upset in the making in New Hampshire, where tea-party candidate Ovide Lamontagne is running ahead of state attorney-general Kelly Ayote, for the GOP Senate nomination. Ayotte, although less conservative than Lamontagne, has the support of Sarah Palin. She is also considered far more likely than Lamontagne to win the general election. The seat is currently held by Republican Judd Gregg, who is retiring. With about a sixth of the precincts reporting, it's 46-35 for Lamontagne. MAJOR BULLETIN: The Associated Press has just called the Delaware GOP Senate primary for Christine O'Donnell, the tea party/Sarah-endorsed candidate. Lightning has struck. PRIMARY BULLETIN – AT 9:02 P.M. ET: Now, with 47% of the Delaware vote in, O'Donnell leads Castle 55-45. That will be a difficult lead for Castle to overcome. This could be a political earthquake in Delaware, but O'Donnell will have a tough time in the general. Polls in New York close at 9 ET: The key race there pits veteran Congressman Charles Rangel, under a very serious corruption crowd, against Adam Clayton Powell IV, who's only been accused of rape...twice. We're a quality state. Stand by for more.
WHAT? WHAT? YOU MEAN...GOP CAJONES? WHEN DID THIS HAPPEN? – AT 7:46 P.M. ET: We have wonderful news. Some Republican senators have learned that they're men, and have decided to do something to honor the breed. They're taking on President Obama over a foolish provision in a disarmament agreement with Russia. Never thought we'd see the day. From the Washington Times:
Lugar? Lugar? That marshmallow has come alive? I have now seen everything.
My heart breaks. Maybe the administration will ask for the Bolshoi to perform at Ground Zero as compensation to Moscow.
COMMENT: Now we're getting some common sense into the START talks. It isn't Ronald Reagan doing the negotiating. It's Barack Obama. Republicans must be ultra-vigilant before Obama gives away the store, then raises our taxes to change the lock. September 14, 2010 Permalink
NEW POLL SHOWS GOP ON THE MARCH – AT 7:19 P.M. ET: A new Fox poll shows the extent of Republican dominance in the current campaign, at least so far:
Polls of likely voters are the ones we like. It's pretty clear from this and other polls that Rubio is making great strides in Florida, and that former Republican and current Governor Charlie Crist's gambit, becoming an independent, isn't paying off. As for other states, I think Pennsylvania looks solid:
And Ohio, often seen as a national indicator, also brings smiles:
We should note that both the Florida and Ohio Senate seats are currently Republican, so the GOP is looking simply to avoid losses in those states. The Pennsylvania seat, if Toomey takes it, would be a turnover. California and Nevada are critical to the GOP's chances of taking the Senate. The Senate seats are both held by Democrats. Nevada is a case where the Republicans may have blown a superb chance by nominating a less-than-stellar candidate in Sharron Angle. Harry Reid, the Senate majority leader, is fighting for his life and was considered a goner not many months ago. He's made the race even because of Angle's blunders. California would be a superb pickup for the GOP, as it would retire intellectually limited Senator Barbara Boxer. Her GOP opponent, Carly Fiorina, is competitive in an overwhelmingly Democratic state:
COMMENT: We are racing toward election day, now seven short weeks away. As in war, the victory may well go to the side that makes the fewest mistakes. There'll be more and more polls examining the races we've just covered, and we'll report them. September 14, 2010 Permalink
SNIPPET OF THE DAY – AT 9:06 A.M. ET:
We simply must find a way to get car thieves to read instruction manuals. Until we do, we cheat the criminal class and increase its sense of oppression. September 14, 2010 Permalink
ELECTION UPDATE: A TRUE SLEEPER CANDIDATE – AT 8:52 A.M. ET: There is no more competent governor in American today than Mitch Daniels, the governor of Indiana. And naturally, there is "that kind" of talk about him, as The Politico notes:
And...
Daniels would probably make a fine president. The problem, though, is that he'd have to get elected. That is a complication that has frustrated many men. If truth be told, Daniels has a speaking style that can render the residents of cemeteries even more dead. He is an instant cure for insomnia. I heard him speak at a small meeting earlier this year. Nice guy, personable. But he has that roundabout, philosophical way of speaking that makes you wonder what he's really saying. Look, maybe this is the right time for a guy like this – a politician who doesn't sound like one. He could be the unique guy who wins despite the rules. But he'll have to convince a public with an attention span of ten seconds. Intriguing, though. I hope he runs just to give an unusual guy a shot. September 14, 2010 Permalink
ANOTHER MAN OF PEACE, IN THE PROCESS OF BITING THE DUST – AT 8:31 A.M. ET: Troubles are building up for the imam behind the Ground Zero mosque. It was revealed yesterday that one of his former, and major, associates, is a 9-11 truther who makes speeches denouncing the idea that Al Qaeda was behind the 9-11 attacks. Today the troubles are more basic:
Well of course not. He's too busy promoting harmony among the world's religions. Yeah, right.
COMMENT: So, if the complaint is correct, Mr. Ground Zero Mosque is a deadbeat landlord, as well as a man who partnered with a 9-11 truther, as well as a man who has an associate in the mosque project with a long criminal record, as well as a man who believes America had a role in the attacks, as well as... Oh but wait. Christiane Amanpour introduced him on TV as a moderate. What more do we need? The man is clearly a prince. Yuch. September 14, 2010 Permalink IT'S ABOUT TIME – AT 8:23 A.M. ET: No guarantees here, but at least the Justice Department is acknowledging that, Houston, we have a problem. From Fox:
COMMENT: If the probe is conducted honestly, it could be one of the most important Washington investigations in years. Dropping that case was an outrage, but the action was consistent with the hard-left views of many of the people Eric Holder has brought into the Justice Department. But the key words here are "conducted honestly." Sometimes a probe just provides a legal cover-up. We might also add that skilled bureaucrats have ways of holding back information, making a thorough probe impossible. Stand by on this one. September 14, 2010 Permalink
ELECTION UPDATE: SEVEN PRIMARIES TODAY – AT 8:06 A.M. ET: Today is the last of the major primary days for this election season. Our great national nightmare is almost over. The key primaries will be Republican, with tea partiers and the GOP establishment sometimes clashing. The Politico reports:
Rangel is opposed by Adam Clayton Powell IV, son of the late Congressman Adam Clayton Powell, who Rangel defeated for the Congressional seat in 1970, some 40 years ago. Rangel faces serious corruption charges. Powell is no Boy Scout either. He's been accused of rape twice and was convicted of driving while impaired. But, hey, it's New York. Those are minor issues. It isn't as if he was convicted of disobeying a party boss.
This is the major story of the night. Castle is certainly no movement conservative. He is from the old school of GOP moderates. But, bottom line, if he's nominated, he's the overwhelming favorite to be elected. O'Donnell, an ideological conservative, is a lightweight, to put it mildly, with considerable personal baggage. She would likely be defeated in the general election. This is Joe Biden's seat. I hope the GOP doesn't blow it over ideological purity.
Again, Ayotte stands a good chance of saving this Republican seat, currently held by Judd Gregg, if she's nominated. Her opponent stands virtually no chance in the general. Sarah got this one right and went with Ayotte. The election is seven weeks from today. We have seven weeks to stop the train wreck in Washington. September 14, 2010 Permalink
MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 13, 2010 THESE AMERICANS, SO DUMB, SO VULNERABLE TO FOX NEWS. WHAT ARE WE INTELLECTS GOING TO DO? – AT 7:30 P.M. ET: A new study out from Pew confirms the supremacy of Fox News. Those in the White House reading the study are advised to have heart medication nearby:
Rotten right-wing Democrats. You just can't trust them. From the study:
COMMENT: What this tells me is that the universities haven't done as much damage as we may have thought, and that many Americans see right through the mainstream media. The mainstreamers have been outfoxed. We must ask what will happen to the institutions on life support – CNN, MSNBC, CNBC. Can they really survive with these losses? Of course, Comcast is taking over NBC, and maybe it will provide a humane, loving end to its two cable failures. As far as CNN is concerned, it will probably live on as a curiosity. At least viewers of Ted Turner's dream don't have to put up with Christiane Amanpour any longer, although ABC views now carry that burden. September 13, 2010 Permalink
REVOLTING – AT 7:18 P.M. ET: The imam in charge of the proposed Muslim cultural center/mosque at Ground Zero has been speaking out since his return from a State Department-sponsored trip to the Middle East. He might have been wiser to shut up. This is his latest burst of wisdom, from Fox News:
COMMENT: The insensitivity of that statement is breathtaking. Yes, there are areas around Ground Zero that are seedy, and that is the fault of zoning boards. But there are human ashes in the very ground where the proposed mosque will be built. A wheel assembly from one of the planes that hit the World Trade Center went through the roof of the building that is on the site right now. It is hallowed ground because the American people say it is. We don't need the approval of the imam. This is the same man who, last week, said that if the mosque issue isn't "handled right," there could be repercussions in other parts of the world. That is blackmail. That is the old Mafia protection racket. And yet, there is silence among his leftist allies and endless "multiculturalists" who choose not to see because, if they did, and spoke out honestly, it might mean a few less party invitations on the West Side of Manhattan. September 13, 2010 Permalink
BE CAREFUL, BE CAREFUL – AT 9:07 A.M. ET: Delaware holds its primary tomorrow, with all eyes focused on the GOP primary for the U.S. Senate nomination. This is the seat once held by Joe Biden. It had been assumed that the nomination would go to veteran Congressman Mike Castle, a GOP moderate. But a conservative faction has gotten behind Christine O'Donnell, who's now been endorsed by Senator Jim DeMint and Sarah Palin. O'Donnell has now shot into a small lead, as The Politico reports:
COMMENT: Hmm. Yes, it's true that O'Donnell is the more conservative candidate, but she has more baggage than Samsonite. There are serious questions about her stability, her finances, her personal integrity, and a whole lot more. And there are very serious questions about her electability in the general election. Republicans have a good shot at taking a Democratic seat in Delaware, and Castle is a highly popular figure across the state. O'Donnell is, at best, an unknown with huge vulnerabilities. In Nevada, Republicans passed over a solid candidate to nominate Sharron Angle for the U.S. Senate, opposing Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid. Angle has been a disaster. An easy win for the GOP has been turned into a dead heat. I fear the same mistake will be made in Delaware. Ideological purity is fun if you can afford to lose a few seats here and there. We can't. September 13, 2010 Permalink
SNIPPET OF THE DAY – AT 8:56 A.M. ET:
Think of it – the plates went through the manufacturing process, the issuing process, the mailing process, the bolting-to-the-car process...and no one noticed the color? What will the governor say about these citizens of her state? September 13, 2010 Permalink THIS IS APPALLING – AT 8:38 A.M. ET: We rarely see the race card played in as ugly and blatant manner as this. It is shameful. David Dinkins is the former mayor of New York, and was the city's first black mayor. He was famously defeated by Rudy Giuliani in 1993, ending liberal control of City Hall in a city with an overwhelmingly Democratic registration. We'd had high hopes for Dinkins, an apparently decent if underqualified candidate for mayor, but he could not overcome his racial identification and became, essentially, the mayor of black New York. It was a true tragedy. You'd think he would have learned. But David Dinkins is back with a political endorsement that displays for all to see what the race card is really like. From the New York Post:
That is pure ugliness. It is an insult to the Hispanic community and to all New Yorkers, and it shows the race card for what it is, an appeal to bigotry. Can you just imagine if a candidate of a different background had appealed to voters to vote for a candidate because "he looks like us" or "sounds like us"? There's be an uproar, and the usual suspects would come out of the woodwork to shout "racism." Dinkins should be widely denounced for this disgrace, but he won't be. And that is the heartbreak. Expect the race card to be played nationally this year, and, especially in 2012, if Obama runs again. It brings out the base and intimidates others. September 13, 2010 Permalink
ELECTION UPDATE – AT 8:22 A.M. ET: We are a bit more than a month and a half away from the midterm elections, and Gallup is out with a poll revealing the report card the current Congress is getting from the American people. Byron York at the Washington Examiner has the story:
COMMENT: Okay, Nancy Pelosi won't be elected Miss America. The results for the Democrat-controlled House and Senate are catastrophic, but the key question is whether they can be turned into GOP votes. Americans may disapprove, but a good fear campaign can find them voting for people they dislike...to avoid a larger catastrophe. Many political pundits are now predicting that the Democratic base, indifferent to this election up to now, may in fact come alive and go to the polls on November 2nd out of fear that some program may be taken away from them. If that happens, many of the assumptions of a Republican tsunami will be in doubt. That is why these polls, while good for the morale, mean nothing in the end. The Dems know how to scare people. Mr. Obama is at it right now, going back into his one successful role, that of campaigner. It's much easier than being president. And some people will buy the line, the way they bought it in 2008. September 13, 2010 Permalink
FREEDOM'S FATE – AT 7:49 A.M. ET: Ronald Reagan said it best: "Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. We didn't pass it to our children in the bloodstream. It must be fought for, protected, and handed on for them to do the same, or one day we will spend our sunset years telling our children and our children's children what it was once like in the United States where men were free." Make no mistake about it – freedom had a bad week last week. The Israelis have a term for it: salami tactics. Something is taken away one small slice at a time. I have only contempt for that "pastor" in Florida who wanted to burn the Koran. I'm glad the obnoxious gent decided against it. But, as vulgar as the act is, it is Constitutionally protected, and the pastor was cautioned that if he committed this act, some people overseas might be "offended," and react according to the way their culture handles offense. That is, essentially, blackmail. Similarly, the guy behind the Ground Zero mosque warned that if the mosque issue wasn't "handled" correctly, there could be a similar reaction overseas. That is more blackmail. In civil-liberties stories they call it "the heckler's veto." Liberty is lost when a heckler can simply shout down a speaker and prevent that speaker from exercising his First Amendment rights. As a society we're being subjected to a huge heckler's veto. We must not "offend" anyone because they may do something unpleasant. We saw the veto in play last week. Another slice of the salami. One of the founding principles of this country is, "I disagree with what you say, but I will defend to my death your right to say it." Another great principle is that the antidote to offensive free speech is more free speech. "Sunshine," Justice Brandeis wrote, "is the best disinfectant." President Obama represents a faction in the United States that has no problem with speech codes on college campuses or vaguely worded "hate-crime" laws that can be employed very selectively against groups that are unpopular at the moment. Salami slices. So, while we're pleased that a Koran won't be burned, let us contemplate the circumstances through which the vile act was prevented. Next we will surely be told that any criticism of certain societies is too dangerous for us, too much of a risk. Yes, freedom had a bad week last week. And it was a week in which the Muslim Students Association at the University of California, Irvine, under suspension for a year after shouting down a visiting speaker and making his speech impossible, was told that the suspension was being cut to four months. The signal was sent that the heckler's veto wasn't all that serious. Another slice of the salami. Eternal vigilance, my friends. September 13, 2010 Permalink
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